Is China a threat to regional stability in the Asia Pacific?
It would be yes with respect to China growing capabilities and capacities as a world giant, economically and politically. With the growth in military armaments and the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons, China can be considered as a threat to the region. However few conditions need to be created in order to see how China can be a threat to the region.It will be possible if;
- Taiwan decides to confront China requesting for independence and change their name into Republic of Taiwan. China as conventional has been firm on their interest on Taiwan and any immediate request from Taiwan will only worsen the situation. On the other hand, U.S has stated undoubtedly that they against any physical attack by China on Taiwan, it can be presume that if this clashes is happening, it will shake the relationship between China with its ASEAN neighbors, worsen their tension relationship with their long-lasting rivalry, Japan and in particular with the U.S. This will also invite the participation of South Korea in the dispute due to their position as U.S allies in East Asia.
- By having India and Pakistan as country with nuclear weapon capability in Asia will also increase the probability of China becoming the threat to Asia Pacific. Any border dispute between these three big Asia giant is enough to put the world on a shaky condition. Although India have never directly demonstrate their support to U.S regarding any issue that involve China, however this could be amended as a repayment to the U.S due to its favoring action on India in acknowledging them as a nuclear power state. While North Korea is assumed to have developed nuclear weapon, China has shown their reluctance to lay any pressure on them and this has also annoyed U.S. China with its aim to be at the par with U.S in current world affair will sooner or later use their capacity to stand off from any pressure created by U.S.
- Disputes among ASEAN country members and China about maritime border becoming unpleasant. Currently China is claiming a large area of South China Sea as their maritime territory however due historical matter, this issue remains disputed. Although the impact of this crisis will not affect the Asia Pacific region greatly, it can be predicted that if China does not handle this issue cautiously, it will trigger tension between China and countries within South China Sea. It is know that within this maritime territory, Philippines and Taiwan are among the claimers and having to have this two country involve in a dispute will only encourage the involvement of the U.S.- i welcome anyone to have a say about this issue. this is an analysis base on international current affair and it represent my own analysis. therefore, please do not feel offended with it and i apologies for any inconveniene caused by it.
posted by fat_elephant @ 8:40 AM
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